Buffalo Sabres at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, MSG-B·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Sabres
to win
52%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BUF.535vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.045vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.006vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BUF.725vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSabres
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-0.03 GSAx/6052% to start196 career GP
Alex Lyon+0.03 GSAx/6041% to start163 career GP
Colten Ellis-0.08 GSAx/607% to start16 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BUF Lindy Ruff · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.455th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 19.5%21st
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 81.9%4th
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 45.9%32nd
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).