Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche
TV ALT, KTVD·Ball Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
39%Oilers
to win
61%
Avalanche
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.504vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.040vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.037vs.096GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors COLCOL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Avalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · COL Jared Bednar
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).