Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars
TV Prime Video·American Airlines Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Ducks
to win
59%
Stars
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.486vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL.009vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL-.049vs.109GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors DAL.007vs.3905v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DALDAL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDucks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
Stars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · DAL Glen Gulutzan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).