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Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

TV MINNHL, Wild+·Delta Center

Our win probability

and the three reasons
MIN45%
Wild
to win
55%UTA
Mammoth
Expected goals
MIN 2.8–3.2 UTA
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors MINfavors UTA →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN
    .511vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
    .010vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA
    -.090vs.030GSAx / 60
  • Projected lineupsfavors UTA
    .331vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
  • Home icefavors UTA
    UTA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
MINWild
UTAMammoth

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: MIN John Hynes · UTA André Tourigny

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
MINUTA
3.2710th
Goals for / game
10th3.27
2.874th
Goals against / game
10th2.93
25.2%3rd
Power play
18th20.0%
79.8%16th
Penalty kill
19th78.1%
46.6%30th
Faceoffs
23rd49.2%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).