New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Grand Casino Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
45%Rangers
to win
55%
Wild
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.476vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN-.057vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR.112vs-.090GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors MINMIN at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
Wild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYR Mike Sullivan · MIN John Hynes
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8723rd
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.0415th
- Goals against / game
- 4th2.87
- 24.7%5th
- Power play
- 3rd25.2%
- 79.9%15th
- Penalty kill
- 16th79.8%
- 54.5%1st
- Faceoffs
- 30th46.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).