Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
38%Ducks
to win
62%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.486vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.009vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors ANA-.049vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.007vs.8605v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDucks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2313th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 3.5129th
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 18.6%23rd
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 76.4%27th
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 48.0%25th
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).