Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings
TV DSN, MINNHL·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Wild
to win
52%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.511vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN.010vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.090vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MIN.331vs.2735v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
- Back-to-backfavors MINMIN and DET played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 22nd2.91
- 2.874th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 25.2%3rd
- Power play
- 12th22.6%
- 79.8%16th
- Penalty kill
- 23rd77.1%
- 46.6%30th
- Faceoffs
- 10th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).