Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks
TV DSN, CHSN·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Red Wings
to win
47%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DET.496vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DET-.060vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.027vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRed Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · CHI Jeff Blashill
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).