Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers
TV SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Golden Knights
to win
47%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.050vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK1.03vs.4945v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · FLA Paul Maurice
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).