Montréal Canadiens at Nashville Predators
TV SCRIPPS, TSN2·Bridgestone Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Canadiens
to win
56%
Predators
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NSH-.072vs-.0685v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs.017GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MTL.431vs.1995v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NSHNSH at home
- Back-to-backfavors MTLMTL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Predators
Juuse Saros+0.01 GSAx/6076% to start490 career GP
Justus Annunen+0.03 GSAx/6024% to start80 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · NSH Andrew Brunette
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).