Washington Capitals at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, MNMT·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Capitals
to win
51%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signaleven.013vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.165vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.1815th
- Goals for / game
- 13th3.23
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 29th3.51
- 17.8%25th
- Power play
- 23rd18.6%
- 80.1%14th
- Penalty kill
- 27th76.4%
- 49.3%20th
- Faceoffs
- 25th48.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).