Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, NBCSP·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Flyers
to win
51%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.495vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI.009vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI.010vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PHI.465vs.0075v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.9321st
- Goals for / game
- 13th3.23
- 2.919th
- Goals against / game
- 29th3.51
- 15.7%32nd
- Power play
- 23rd18.6%
- 77.6%22nd
- Penalty kill
- 27th76.4%
- 49.5%18th
- Faceoffs
- 25th48.0%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).