St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild
TV MINNHL, STLNHL·Grand Casino Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Blues
to win
49%
Wild
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.503vs.511win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN.049vs.0105v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors STL-.058vs-.090GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MIN.114vs.3315v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors MINMIN at home
- Back-to-backfavors STLMIN played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Wild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · MIN John Hynes
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).