Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers
TV SCRIPPS, TVAS·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
53%Canadiens
to win
47%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA-.072vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
- Back-to-backfavors MTLFLA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
N. Suzuki101 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).