Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks
TV CHSN, NESN·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
58%Bruins
to win
42%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.503vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BOS-.058vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.201vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.662vs-.6125v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BOS Marco Sturm · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 30th2.56
- 3.0114th
- Goals against / game
- 27th3.29
- 23.4%9th
- Power play
- 29th16.9%
- 77.0%24th
- Penalty kill
- 2nd83.6%
- 53.1%4th
- Faceoffs
- 31st46.0%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).