Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings
TV ABTV , SNO·Crypto.com Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Maple Leafs
to win
64%
Kings
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors LAK.479vs.489win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors LAK-.113vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.052vs.035GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors LAKLAK at home
- Back-to-backfavors TORTOR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMaple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky-0.01 GSAx/6070% to start923 career GP
Anthony Stolarz+0.20 GSAx/6030% to start176 career GP
Kings
Darcy Kuemper+0.05 GSAx/6061% to start529 career GP
Anton Forsberg0.00 GSAx/6039% to start230 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: TOR Jim Hiller · LAK Peter Laviolette
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).