Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, KCOP-13·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Maple Leafs
to win
57%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors ANA.479vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA-.113vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors TOR.052vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersMaple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky-0.01 GSAx/6070% to start923 career GP
Anthony Stolarz+0.20 GSAx/6030% to start176 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: TOR Jim Hiller · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0716th
- Goals for / game
- 13th3.23
- 3.6031st
- Goals against / game
- 29th3.51
- 21.3%15th
- Power play
- 23rd18.6%
- 81.2%8th
- Penalty kill
- 27th76.4%
- 54.2%3rd
- Faceoffs
- 25th48.0%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).