New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres
TV MSG-B, MSG·KeyBank Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Devils
to win
58%
Sabres
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BUF.485vs.535win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BUF-.033vs.0455v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BUF-.029vs-.006GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BUF.249vs.7255v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BUFBUF at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
Sabres
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-0.03 GSAx/6052% to start196 career GP
Alex Lyon+0.03 GSAx/6041% to start163 career GP
Colten Ellis-0.08 GSAx/607% to start16 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · BUF Lindy Ruff
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).