Sharks at Kraken — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Sharks at Kraken

San Jose Sharks(39-35-8)

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Tue, Dec 22, 9:40 PM ESTTV Prime Video, NBCSCA·Climate Pledge Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

45%

Sharks

to win

55%

Kraken

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signaleven
.479vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SEA
-.114vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors SEA
-.137vs-.072GSAx / 60
Home icefavors SEA
SEA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/60
43% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/60
36% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/60
20% to start63 career GP

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · SEA Lane Lambert

Leaders

vs

M. Celebrini
115
Points
J. Eberle
55
M. Celebrini
45
Goals
B. McMann
29
M. Celebrini
70
Assists
V. Dunn
33

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.0417th
Goals for / game: 28th2.73; 3.5430th
Goals against / game: 23rd3.13; 21.2%16th
Power play: 20th19.5%; 76.4%26th
Penalty kill: 31st72.2%; 47.8%26th
Faceoffs: 27th47.7%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 21@
Dec 8@
Dec 22@this game
Jan 16@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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