Montréal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Nationwide Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Canadiens
to win
49%
Blue Jackets
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CBJ-.072vs.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs.035GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MTL.431vs.3005v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CBJCBJ at home
- Back-to-backfavors MTLCBJ played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Blue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · CBJ Rick Bowness
Leaders
vs- Points
N. Suzuki101 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).