Mammoth at Canucks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Mammoth at Canucks

Utah Mammoth(43-33-6)

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Mon, Dec 21, 9:00 PM ESTTV Utah16, SN+·Rogers Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

61%

Mammoth

to win

39%

Canucks

Expected goals: 3.3–2.7
Goes to overtime: 21%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA
.500vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
.093vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA
.030vs-.089GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors UTA
.397vs-1.045v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors VAN
VAN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Mammoth

Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/60
99% to start268 career GP

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · VAN Manny Malhotra

Leaders

vs

C. Keller
88
Points
E. Pettersson
51
D. Guenther
40
Goals
J. DeBrusk
23
C. Keller
62
Assists
F. Hronek
41

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 30th2.56; 2.9310th
Goals against / game: 32nd3.83; 20.0%18th
Power play: 14th21.8%; 78.1%19th
Penalty kill: 32nd71.5%; 49.2%23rd
Faceoffs: 22nd49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 16@
Dec 21@this game
Jan 2@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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