St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers
TV STLNHL, BN+·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Blues
to win
54%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.503vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signaleven.049vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.058vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors FLA.114vs.2275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8024th
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 28th3.34
- 17.6%26th
- Power play
- 19th19.5%
- 76.7%25th
- Penalty kill
- 9th81.0%
- 49.4%19th
- Faceoffs
- 29th46.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).