Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins
TV NBCSP, NESN·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Flyers
to win
48%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.495vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI.009vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.010vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.465vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
- Back-to-backfavors PHIBOS played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: PHI Rick Tocchet · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).