St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins
TV STLNHL, BN+·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Blues
to win
56%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.503vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL.049vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.058vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.114vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8024th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 17.6%26th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 76.7%25th
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 49.4%19th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).