New York Islanders at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, MSGSN·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Islanders
to win
51%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.488vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.069vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI.078vs.030GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
- Back-to-backfavors NYIUTA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersIslanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NYI Peter DeBoer · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7925th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 10th2.93
- 16.5%30th
- Power play
- 18th20.0%
- 80.8%10th
- Penalty kill
- 19th78.1%
- 52.6%5th
- Faceoffs
- 23rd49.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).