Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken
TV ESPN, SN+·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Capitals
to win
51%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH.013vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.165vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.355vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · SEA Lane Lambert
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.1815th
- Goals for / game
- 28th2.73
- 2.907th
- Goals against / game
- 23rd3.13
- 17.8%25th
- Power play
- 20th19.5%
- 80.1%14th
- Penalty kill
- 31st72.2%
- 49.3%20th
- Faceoffs
- 27th47.7%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).