Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets
TV CHSN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
38%Blackhawks
to win
62%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WPG.463vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG-.223vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG-.081vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors WPG-.612vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
P. Kane41
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).