Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues
TV ESPN+, HULU·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Avalanche
to win
50%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.096vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors COL.337vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors COLCOL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).