Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, TSN3·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Jets
to win
58%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WPG.491vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA-.048vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG.117vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupseven.027vs.0075v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
- Back-to-backfavors WPGWPG played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).