Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth
TV Utah16, TSN3·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
43%Jets
to win
57%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA.491vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA-.048vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG.117vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.027vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · UTA André Tourigny
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).