Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals
TV MNMT, SNP·Capital One Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
37%Canucks
to win
63%
Capitals
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.439vs.516win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WSH-.225vs.0135v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH-.089vs.165GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors WSHWSH at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Capitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · WSH Spencer Carbery
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 15th3.18
- 3.8332nd
- Goals against / game
- 7th2.90
- 21.8%14th
- Power play
- 25th17.8%
- 71.5%32nd
- Penalty kill
- 14th80.1%
- 49.3%22nd
- Faceoffs
- 20th49.3%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).