Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins
TV NESN, SN·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
34%Canucks
to win
66%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.5–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 20%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.439vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BOS-.225vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.089vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS-1.04vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.8332nd
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 21.8%14th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 71.5%32nd
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 49.3%22nd
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).