Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken
TV Prime Video, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Oilers
to win
50%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.504vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM.037vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.475vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
- Back-to-backfavors EDMEDM and SEA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · SEA Lane Lambert
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
V. Dunn33
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).