Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers
TV NBCSP, SNP·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
34%Canucks
to win
66%
Flyers
- Expected goals
- 2.5–3.5
- Goes to overtime
- 20%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PHI.439vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI-.225vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI-.089vs.010GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PHI-1.04vs.4655v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PHIPHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Flyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · PHI Rick Tocchet
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 21st2.93
- 3.8332nd
- Goals against / game
- 9th2.91
- 21.8%14th
- Power play
- 32nd15.7%
- 71.5%32nd
- Penalty kill
- 22nd77.6%
- 49.3%22nd
- Faceoffs
- 18th49.5%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).