Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils
TV MSGSN, SN·Prudential Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Flames
to win
59%
Devils
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.481vs.485win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NJD-.127vs-.0335v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven.016vs-.001GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NJD-.091vs.4185v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NJDNJD at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersFlames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
Devils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6083% to start526 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6017% to start55 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CGY Ryan Huska · NJD Sheldon Keefe
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).