Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings
TV DSN, Prime·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
35%Canucks
to win
65%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DET.439vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DET-.225vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.089vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors DET-1.04vs.2735v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 22nd2.91
- 3.8332nd
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 21.8%14th
- Power play
- 12th22.6%
- 71.5%32nd
- Penalty kill
- 23rd77.1%
- 49.3%22nd
- Faceoffs
- 10th51.0%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).