Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers
TV SCRIPPS, TSN5·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Senators
to win
49%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors OTT.515vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT.107vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.066vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors OTT.609vs.2275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSenators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: OTT Travis Green · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).