Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins
TV NESN, TSN3·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Jets
to win
56%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.491vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG-.048vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.117vs.201GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.027vs.6625v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7925th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.1221st
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 18.5%24th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 77.6%21st
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 51.1%9th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).