Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets
TV SCRIPPS, SNW·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
54%Golden Knights
to win
46%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors VGK.514vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors VGK.154vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG-.050vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors VGK.821vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersGolden Knights
Adin Hill-0.06 GSAx/6052% to start243 career GP
Carter Hart-0.04 GSAx/6048% to start281 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VGK Ryan Craig · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
M. Stone28 - Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).