Penguins at Predators — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Penguins at Predators

Pittsburgh Penguins(41-25-16)

Nashville Predators(38-34-10)

Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM ESTTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

52%

Penguins

to win

48%

Predators

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT
.510vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT
.036vs-.0685v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NSH
-.237vs.017GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors PIT
1.11vs.1995v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors NSH
NSH at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Penguins

Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/60
91% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/60
9% to start5 career GP

Predators

Juuse Saros+0.01 GSAx/60
76% to start490 career GP
Justus Annunen+0.03 GSAx/60
24% to start80 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: PIT Dan Muse · NSH Andrew Brunette

Leaders

vs

S. Crosby
74
Points
F. Forsberg
75
B. Rust
29
Goals
S. Stamkos
42
E. Karlsson
51
Assists
R. O'Reilly
49

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.543rd
Goals for / game: 20th2.95; 3.1524th
Goals against / game: 26th3.26; 24.1%7th
Power play: 11th23.1%; 81.4%6th
Penalty kill: 5th81.7%; 48.2%24th
Faceoffs: 15th50.5%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 24@
Nov 21@this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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