Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames
TV CHSN, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Blackhawks
to win
58%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CGY.463vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CGY-.223vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY-.081vs.016GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CGY-.612vs-.0915v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).