Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche
TV Prime Video, KUSA·Ball Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Ducks
to win
58%
Avalanche
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.486vs.551win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.009vs.2425v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL-.049vs.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors COL.007vs.3375v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors COLCOL at home
- Back-to-backfavors ANACOL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDucks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
Avalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · COL Jared Bednar
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).