St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins
TV STLNHL, BN+·PPG Paints Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Blues
to win
58%
Penguins
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.503vs.510win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT.049vs.0365v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors STL-.058vs-.237GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PIT.114vs1.115v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PITPIT at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Penguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · PIT Dan Muse
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.8024th
- Goals for / game
- 3rd3.54
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 24th3.15
- 17.6%26th
- Power play
- 7th24.1%
- 76.7%25th
- Penalty kill
- 6th81.4%
- 49.4%19th
- Faceoffs
- 24th48.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).