Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers
TV SCRIPPS, SN·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Oilers
to win
52%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.504vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM.037vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.446th
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 3.2325th
- Goals against / game
- 28th3.34
- 30.6%1st
- Power play
- 19th19.5%
- 77.8%20th
- Penalty kill
- 9th81.0%
- 52.6%6th
- Faceoffs
- 29th46.8%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).