Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins
TV MINNHL, Wild+·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Wild
to win
53%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.511vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors MIN.010vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.090vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 2.874th
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 25.2%3rd
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 79.8%16th
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 46.6%30th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).