St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth
TV STLNHL, BN+·Delta Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Blues
to win
51%
Mammoth
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.503vs.500win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA.049vs.0935v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA-.058vs.030GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors UTA.114vs.3975v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors UTAUTA at home
- Back-to-backfavors STLUTA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/6099% to start268 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: STL Jim Montgomery · UTA André Tourigny
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).