Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues
TV TNT, truTV·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Red Wings
to win
54%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors STL.496vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL-.060vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.027vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRed Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.9122nd
- Goals for / game
- 24th2.80
- 3.1019th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 22.6%12th
- Power play
- 26th17.6%
- 77.1%23rd
- Penalty kill
- 25th76.7%
- 51.0%10th
- Faceoffs
- 19th49.4%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).