Ducks at Oilers — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Ducks at Oilers

Anaheim Ducks(43-33-6)

Edmonton Oilers(41-30-11)

Thu, Nov 5, 8:00 PM ESTTV Prime Video, SNW·Rogers Place

Our win probability

and the three reasons

42%

Ducks

to win

58%

Oilers

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM
.486vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM
.009vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM
-.049vs.037GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors EDM
.007vs.4755v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors EDM
EDM at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Ducks

Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/60
49% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/60
32% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/60
18% to start151 career GP

Oilers

Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/60
50% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/60
42% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/60
8% to start39 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · EDM Mike Babcock

Leaders

vs

C. Gauthier
69
Points
C. McDavid
138
C. Gauthier
41
Goals
C. McDavid
48
J. LaCombe
48
Assists
C. McDavid
90

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2313th
Goals for / game: 6th3.44; 3.5129th
Goals against / game: 25th3.23; 18.6%23rd
Power play: 1st30.6%; 76.4%27th
Penalty kill: 20th77.8%; 48.0%25th
Faceoffs: 6th52.6%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 7@
Nov 5@this game
Dec 20@
Apr 3@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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