Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Nationwide Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
49%Avalanche
to win
51%
Blue Jackets
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors COL.551vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors COL.242vs.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors COL.096vs.035GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors COL.337vs.3005v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CBJCBJ at home
- Back-to-backfavors COLCOL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersAvalanche
Mackenzie Blackwood+0.09 GSAx/6054% to start302 career GP
Scott Wedgewood+0.12 GSAx/6044% to start214 career GP
Trent Miner-0.09 GSAx/602% to start6 career GP
Blue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: COL Jared Bednar · CBJ Rick Bowness
Leaders
vs- Points
N. MacKinnon127 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.631st
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 2.401st
- Goals against / game
- 16th3.06
- 17.1%27th
- Power play
- 22nd18.9%
- 84.6%1st
- Penalty kill
- 28th76.0%
- 51.2%8th
- Faceoffs
- 13th50.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).