Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers
TV MINNHL, Wild+·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
46%Wild
to win
54%
Flyers
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MIN.511vs.495win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PHI.010vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors PHI-.090vs.010GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors PHIPHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersWild
Calvin Pickard-0.21 GSAx/6060% to start204 career GP
Jesper Wallstedt+0.10 GSAx/6040% to start50 career GP
Flyers
Dan Vladar-0.01 GSAx/6054% to start169 career GP
Joseph Woll+0.04 GSAx/6046% to start131 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MIN John Hynes · PHI Rick Tocchet
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.2710th
- Goals for / game
- 21st2.93
- 2.874th
- Goals against / game
- 9th2.91
- 25.2%3rd
- Power play
- 32nd15.7%
- 79.8%16th
- Penalty kill
- 22nd77.6%
- 46.6%30th
- Faceoffs
- 18th49.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).